Manazarta sun rage kididdigar da suka samu na farkon kwata-kwata da wani babban gibi fiye da matsakaicin ragi yayin da matsalar kudi ta banki ke haifar da fargabar koma bayan tattalin arziki.
Ƙididdigar hawan Q1 EPS - jimlar hasashen tsaka-tsaki na kowane kamfani a cikin S&P 500 - ya faɗi 6.3% zuwa $50.75. Manazarta sun rage kididdigar kudaden da suke samu na kwata-kwata da matsakaicin kashi 2.8% a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata da kuma matsakaicin kashi 3.8% cikin shekaru 20 da suka gabata. Kusan kashi 75 cikin 100 na hasashen samun kudaden shiga na farko na kamfanoni na S&P 500 ba su da kyau.
Wannan lamarin ba wai kawai ya shafi kamfanoni na S&P 500 ba. Masu sharhi sun kuma rage tsammanin tsammanin MSCI US da MSCI ACWI a lokaci guda. Hakazalika, manazarta suma sun yanke hasashen EPS na kamfanonin S&P 500 da kashi 3.8% na duk shekarar 2023, fiye da matsakaicin shekaru 5, 10, 15 da 20.
Rufe Bankin Sa hannu da Bankin Silicon Valley da aka yi ba zato ba tsammani ya haifar da damuwa mai yawa, tare da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma yiwuwar koma bayan tattalin arziki. Gabaɗaya bacin rai game da hasashen samun kuɗi na iya kasancewa yana da alaƙa da raunin da ake tsammani a cikin kayan, kiwon lafiya, fasahar bayanai da sassan sadarwa.
Manazarta sun rage hasashensu na kashi 79% na hannun jarin sassan kayan, suna tsammanin raguwar 36% na kudaden shiga ga masana'antar. Ana sa ran ribar masana'antar Semiconductor za ta ragu da kashi 43% a duk shekara. Koyaya, hannun jari a cikin sassan biyu sun haɓaka mafi girma na kwata, tare da kayan haɓaka 2.1% da PHLX semiconductor sama da 27%, wanda ke haifar da sha'awar ciyarwar AI.
Ɗaya daga cikin tasiri na canji a cikin hasashen EPS shine canji a cikin S&P 500's 12-watanni na gaba farashin-samun rabo, wanda ya tashi zuwa 17.8 daga 16.7 a farkon kwata. Yunƙurin a cikin fihirisar ya zo daidai da faɗuwar kiyasin samun kuɗi-kowa-ni-rabo. A cikin shekaru 10 kafin COVID-19, rabon P/E na jimillar ya kai 15.5.
Lokacin aikawa: Afrilu-05-2023